Market News

Millennials Nervous About Rates

A recent survey showed Millennials to be nervous about rising interest rates, and much more so than other age groups.  Undoubtedly, the burden of student loan debt hangs heavier on this cohort than others, and makes the thought of anything debt related stomach problems.

But, before everyone runs around like Chicken Little shouting “the sky is falling”, let’s consider what the latest interest rate bump from the Fed actually amounted to.  The bump (maybe we would be better to call it a nudge) was less than ¼%.  To put that in dollar terms, on a standard 30 year fixed rate mortgage of $100,000 a quarter percent nudge translates to an extra $10.57 per month (meaning one might have to skip stopping at Starbucks once every couple weeks if they want to get out of Mom & Dad’s basement).

Millennials certainly don’t need another reason to shy away from becoming home buyers.  This past year saw the share of first time home buyers slip for the third consecutive year, and to hover at the lowest point in three decades.  Millennials would normally be leading the first time home buyer charge.  But for now, they remain nervous.  To learn how to make your homebuying dollar go further, call me.

From Offer to Closing in 49 Days

With the recent introduction of the RESPA-TILA Know Before You Owe regs, courtesy of the federal government, real estate closings are now averaging 49 days.  As in 7 weeks.  So plan accordingly.

Many realtors write offers with 30 days closings in mind, and then attempt to force everyone to get ‘er done in that timeframe.  They rarely happen in that time, and everyone usually has to adjust and readjust, and readjust some more.

As the housing industry adjusts to the new regs, and gets better with them, the average timeline from accepted offer to closing will likely come down a few days.  Note I said a few days and not a few weeks.  So, when buying and selling, plan accordingly.

Inventory of homes continues to tighten

The November sales numbers for Central Indiana have been tallied, and the verdict is the inventory of homes available is tightening as we head into the winter months.

 

Sales were up in November, 4% over last November and 9% for the most recent 12 months over the previous.  (That’s good news.)  But… new listings have not kept pace, leaving just a 4.4 month supply of homes available for every sale taking place. That number is down 12% from a year ago, reflecting the smaller number of homes available for each buyer to choose from.   Those trends have combined to force the median average sales price up to $145,000 (up 6% from last November).  That’s all good news for those thinking about selling.

Meanwhile, mortgage rates are near 4%, a number unheard of for all but the last several years of Federal Reserve tampering.  And those 4% interest rates make for monthly payments almost half of what they would’ve been during most of the second half of the 20th Century (for the same amount borrowed).

Want to see how all those numbers add up for your personal situation?  Ez, call me.